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Published online 6 February 2007
Published in Crop Sci 47:311-320 (2007)
© 2007 Crop Science Society of America
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CROP BREEDING & GENETICS

Modeling Additive x Environment and Additive x Additive x Environment Using Genetic Covariances of Relatives of Wheat Genotypes

Juan Burgueñoa, José Crossaa,*, Paul L. Corneliusb, Richard Trethowanc, Graham McLarend and Anitha Krishnamacharid

a Biometrics and Statistics Unit of the Crop Informatics Laboratory (CRIL), International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Apdo. Postal 6-641, México, D.F., México
b Dep. of Plant and Soil Sciences and Dep. of Statistics, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40546-0312, USA
c Plant Breeding Institute, University of Sydney, PMB 11, Camden NSW 2570, Australia
d Biometrics and Bioinformatics Unit of the Crop Informatics Laboratory (CRIL), International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), DAPO Box 7777, Manila, the Philippines

* Corresponding author (j.crossa{at}cgiar.org)


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
In self-pollinated species, the variance–covariance matrix of breeding values of the genetic strains evaluated in multienvironment trials (MET) can be partitioned into additive effects, additive x additive effects, and their interaction with environments. The additive relationship matrix A can be used to derive the additive x additive genetic variance–covariance relationships among strains, Ã. This study shows how to separate total genetic effects into additive and additive x additive and how to model the additive x environment interaction and additive x additive x environment interaction by incorporating variance–covariance structures constructed as the Kronecker product of a factor-analytic model across sites and the additive (A) and additive x additive relationships (Ã), between strains. Two CIMMYT international trials were used for illustration. Results show that partitioning the total genotypic effects into additive and additive x additive and their interactions with environments is useful for identifying wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) lines with high additive effects (to be used in crossing programs) as well as high overall production. Some lines and environments had high positive additive x environment interaction patterns, whereas other lines and environments showed a different additive x additive x environment interaction pattern.

Abbreviations: BLUP, best linear unbiased prediction • COP, coefficient of parentage • FA, factor analytic • MET, multienvironment trials • MM, mixed model


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
MULTIPLICATIVE MODELS within a mixed model (MM) framework have been used for analyzing METs, studying and interpreting genotype x environment interaction, and assessing yield stability of plant genotypes (Smith et al., 2005). The use of MMs for analyzing METs allows prediction of genotypic performance by using covariance structures that consider correlations between sites, years, and field plots, as well as genetic associations between relatives. In mixed linear models, some effects are assumed to have arisen from a distribution of random effects, implying that there is a broad population of genetic effects and that samples are realized values from that population, which can be predicted using best linear unbiased predictors (BLUPs) (Henderson, 1975). Conversely, inferences on fixed effects in the model are restricted only to the observed levels of genotypes, environments, genotype x environment interaction, and best linear unbiased estimates are computed.

A factor analytic (FA) variance–covariance structure, with environments random and genotypes fixed, was considered by Piepho (1997) for the regression of within-site genotypic means on site means. Piepho (1998) considered genotypes as random effects in MM versions of linear and linear–bilinear models. Smith et al. (2002) described random effects FA models in the context of random regression coefficients. Mixed model FA structures were used by Crossa et al. (2004) to confirm clusters of sites showing noncrossover genotype x environment interaction formed by the fixed effect sites regression model and shifted multiplicative model. Smith et al. (2005) gave a general formulation of the most common MMs used for analyzing METs, including the FA models.

Mixed models facilitate the use of genetic covariances between relatives by considering genetic values as random variables to be predicted. The genetic covariance between any pair of related genotypes due to their additive genetic effects is two times the coefficient of parentage (COP), fii', times the additive genetic variance, {sigma}a2 (Kempthorne, 1969; Henderson, 1976). The matrix A = 2[fii'] is the additive relationship matrix (Henderson, 1976); thus, A {sigma}a2 is the variance–covariance matrix of the breeding values (or additive genetic effects). Assuming loci segregate independently, the general covariance from the epistatic interaction between loci for any type of relatives includes, among others, coefficients (2fii')2 for additive x additive genetic effects (Falconer and Mackay, 1996).

Conceptually, for any number of loci, the genotypic value of any individual can be expressed as the sum of the average effect of allele substitution of each of its parents at each locus (additive effects or breeding value), plus a deviation due to nonadditive effects (dominance and epistatic interactions) (Falconer and Mackay, 1996; Bernardo, 2002). When genotypes from one breeding population are crossed with those from another breeding population, the mean genotypic value of the progeny is equal to a general mean plus a sum of the additive effects of the two parents (general combining ability of the parents) and nonadditive effects due to specific combinations of alleles at different loci (specific combining ability) (Bernardo, 2002). A genotype with large positive additive effects tends to perform well in crosses with others, whereas other genotypes may perform well only in specific crosses.

The commercial value of a line is measured by the overall genetic effect of that line (additive + additive x additive), whereas its potential for being a good parent is solely due to its additive effect or breeding value (which is how much of genetic value passes on to its progeny). It is, therefore, of some practical importance to be able to separate additive and epistatic genetic effects. Different mating designs (e.g., diallel crosses) can be used to assess the general and specific combining ability of genotypes, but have several drawbacks including (i) cost because they are established in addition to the usual METs, and (ii) inefficiency, as only a small number of lines can be tested.

In a recent study, Oakey et al. (2006) proposed a statistical MM for self-pollinated species evaluated in a single replicated trial that partitioned total genetic effects, g, into additive effects, a, and non-additive effects, i. The authors incorporated the additive relationship matrix, A, to model the covariance between relatives for the additive part, but used the identity matrix, I, for the non-additive component. By this procedure, Oakey et al. (2006) were able to overcome some of the drawbacks of standard mating systems (i.e., diallel) used for estimating breeding values of lines.

It would be desirable to predict additive effects separated from non-additive effects and to study the interaction of these components with environments using standard MET data. Recently, Crossa et al. (2006) used different MMs with MET data for modeling the main effects of genotypes and genotype x environment interaction using information about related genotypes of wheat. They obtained BLUPs of the genetic effects using genetic variance–covariance structures constructed as the Kronecker product (direct product) of a structured matrix of genetic variances and covariances across sites, and a matrix, A, of genetic relationships between strains. Results showed that the direct product of FA structures with matrix A efficiently modeled the main effects of genotypes and genotype x environment interaction.

This study extends the MMs developed by Oakey et al. (2006) for partitioning total genetic effects into additive effects and additive x additive effects by using the matrix à to model additive x additive genetic covariances and uses the factor analytic models proposed by Crossa et al. (2006) to partition the genotype x environment interaction into additive x environment interaction and additive x additive x environment interaction. Two CIMMYT international wheat METs were used to illustrate the theory.


    MATERIALS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
COP for the Additive and Additive x Additive Genetic Variance and Covariance Components of Relatives from Self-Pollinated Species
Falconer and Mackay (1996) showed the general covariance among any sort of relatives in the absence of linkage and for any level of inbreeding. Wright (1987) showed the covariance of inbred relatives with special reference to selfing and displayed an expression for the covariance between individuals i' and i developed by selfing from an original population in linkage and identity equilibrium. The expression has 23 components comprising nine variances, 11 covariances, and three products of expectation for effects which are identical by descent. If one assumes no dominance, all terms will vanish except the terms for the additive and additive x additive variances, which will take the form Ci'i = 2fi'i{sigma}a2 + (2fi'i)2 {sigma}aa2, where fi'i is the COP between individuals i' and i, {sigma}a2 is the additive genetic variance, and {sigma}aa2 is the additive x additive genetic variance. Assuming linkage and identity equilibrium, it seems justified to use (2fi'i)2, which in matrix notation can be represented by (A#A) = Ã, as the coefficient of the additive x additive component (where # is the element-wise multiplication operator) (Falconer and Mackay, 1996).

The elements of the COP matrix, fii', are expressed as (1/2)(1 + Ft), where Ft is the coefficient of inbreeding between lines i and i' at generation t after crossing. In self-pollinating species, inbreeding accumulates through genes shared by ancestors and through the selfing process. Sister lines, those derived from the same cross, have different COP values depending on the generation since crossing of their most recent common ancestor. Sister lines which share a later common ancestor have higher COPs.

Routine computation of COP matrices requires information on relatives, as far back in a pedigree as possible, and on generations of selfing after the last cross. The International Crop Information System (ICIS) (McLaren et al., 2005) is designed to manage pedigree information, and the Browse application of ICIS (http://cropwiki.irri.org/icis/index.php/TDM GMS Browse, verified 13 Dec. 2006), which accounts for relationships between sister lines as well as inbreeding, was used to compute the COP matrices; therefore, no matrix adjustments are required.

Mixed Models
Following Crossa et al. (2006) and depending on how the additive and additive x additive main effects and the additive x environment interaction and additive x additive x environment interaction effects are modeled, two mixed models are used. We follow the MMs terminology used by Oakey et al. (2006) for describing the overall genetic effects, g, and its components a (additive effects) and i (additive x additive effects), and the MMs of Crossa et al. (2006) for expressing the total genetic x environment interaction effects (ge) and their additive x environment interaction (ae) and additive x additive x environment (ie) components.

Mixed Model 1
Mixed Model 1 combines the genetic main effects and genetic x environment interaction effects for fitting the data from g genotypes (i = 1, 2,..., g), s sites (j = 1, 2, ..., s), and r replicates (in each site) using the A and à matrices (both of dimensions g x g). The MM1 is written as

Formula 1[1]
where X is the incidence matrix of 0s and 1s for the fixed effects of sites, and Zr and Zg1 are the incidence matrices of 0s and 1s for the random effects of replicates within sites and genotypes within sites, respectively. The random total genetic effects within sites (g1 = a1 + i1, vectors with gs elements) includes the genetic main effects within sites, g, plus the genetic x environment interaction effects (ge). Similarly, for the components of g1: a1 contains the additive main effects, a, plus the additive x environment interaction (ae) and i1 includes the additive x additive main effects, i, plus the additive x additive x environment interaction effects (ie). The random effects of replicates within sites and residual within sites are represented by the vectors r and {eta}, respectively. The random effects r, a1, i1, and {eta} are assumed to be normally distributed, with zero mean vectors and variance–covariance matrices denoted by R, Ga1, Gi1, and N, respectively, such that

Formula 2[2]
Following Crossa et al. (2006), the gs x gs matrix Ga1 of MM1 is

Formula 3[3]
where {otimes} is the Kronecker product (direct product) operator and {Sigma}a1 is a site additive genetic variance–covariance matrix with the additive plus additive x environment interaction genetic variance within the jth site on the diagonal, {sigma}a1(j)2, and the additive plus additive x environment interaction genetic covariance between sites j and j', {rho}jj'{sigma}a1(j){sigma}a1(j') on the off-diagonal; thus {rho}jj' is the correlation of the additive and additive x environment interaction effects between sites j and j'. Matrix Gi1 is similarly defined, with A replaced by à and the additive genetic variance–covariance matrix {Sigma}a1 replaced by an additive x additive epistatic genetic variance–covariance matrix {Sigma}i1.

Assuming independence between vectors a1 and i1, the total genetic effect, g1, has a normal distribution with mean zero and variance–covariance matrix Gg1 = Ga1 + Gi1. The MM equations and the solution for the vector of fixed effects of site means Formula 3 and the vectors of random effects Formula 3, â1, and î1 are obtained following Henderson (1975).

Unlike Oakey et al. (2006), in this study, the structure of the vector of fixed site effects, b, does not include global field variation such as fixed row or column effects or any possible source of extraneous field variability due to management such as serpentine planting, irrigation, etc. Furthermore, the structure of N does not include any random extraneous or local spatially dependent effects that could have been modeled, for example, by an autoregressive process in the direction of the rows and columns (Gilmour et al., 1997).

Mixed Model 2
Mixed Model 2 distinguishes the total genetic main effects, g, and their additive, a, and additive x additive, i, components, from the total genetic x environment interaction effects, ge, and their additive x environment interaction (ae) and additive x additive x environment components for fitting g genotypes, s sites, and r replicates using the A and à matrices of additive and additive x additive relationships, respectively. The MM2 model is denoted by the following mixed linear model:

Formula 4[2]
where X, Zr, Zg, and Zge are the design matrices for fixed effects of sites, random effects of replicates within sites, genetics, and ge, respectively. Vector b denotes the fixed effects of sites, and vectors r, a, i, ae, ie, and {eta} contain random effects of replicates within sites, additive, additive x additive, additive x environment interaction, additive x additive x environment interaction, and residuals, respectively, and are assumed to be random and normally distributed with zero mean vectors and variance–covariance matrices R, Ga, Gi, Gae, Gie, and N, respectively, such that

Formula 5[5]
Variance–covariance matrices R and N are assumed to have a simple variance component structure, as defined for MM1. Assuming independence between vectors a and i, the total genetic effect, g, has a normal distribution with mean zero and variance–covariance Gg = Ga + G1, where the variance–covariance matrix of the additive, Ga, and additive x additive main effects, Gi, are modeled as Ga = {sigma}a2A, and Gi = {sigma}aa2 Ã.

The variance–covariance of the random vector of additive x environment interaction interaction effects, additive x environment interaction, is modeled as

Formula 6[6]
where the jth diagonal element of the s x s matrix {Sigma}ae is the additive x environment variance {sigma}aej2 within the jth site, and the jj'th off-diagonal element is the additive x environment covariance {rho}jj'{sigma}aej{sigma}aej' between sites j and j'; thus {rho}jj' is the correlation of additive x environment effects between sites j and j'. Similarly, matrix Gie = {Sigma}ie {otimes} Ã, where {Sigma}ie is the additive x additive x environment variance–covariance matrix of dimensions s x s.

Assuming independence between vectors additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interaction, the total ge effect has a normal distribution with mean zero and variance–covariance Gge = Gae + Gie. As in the case of MM1, the MM equations and the solution for the vector of fixed site effects, Formula 6, and the vectors of random effects of replicates within sites, Formula 6; additive, â; additive x additive, î; additive x environment, Formula 6; and additive x additive x environment interaction, Formula 6, are obtained following Henderson (1975).

Modeling {Sigma}a1 and {Sigma}i1 of MM1 and {Sigma}ae and {Sigma}ie of MM2 Using the Factor Analytic Model
The structure used in this study for modeling the variance–covariance matrices of MM1 and MM2 is the FA model, which models the variance–covariance relationships in these matrices as a small number of unobserved factors. To describe the FA model of the variance–covariance matrices of MM1 and MM2, we follow Smith et al. (2002) but adapted to the case where the total genetic effect is partitioned into additive and additive x additive.

For MM1, the Appendix shows that the factor analytic model that defines matrices {Sigma}a1 and {Sigma}i1 in Gg1 when g1 = a1 + i1 is

Formula 7[7]
(Appendix, Eq. [A6] and [A7], respectively). Similarly, the factor analytic model that defines matrices {Sigma}ae and {Sigma}ie in Gge of model MM2 can be derived for ge = ae + ie.

Biplots of Fitted Models MM1 and MM2
Biplots of the fitted factor analytic models can be obtained directly from the scores of the lines and loadings of the sites for the a1 and i1 effects of MM1, and for the additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interaction effects of MM2. Biplots from MM1 and MM2 models for Data Set 1 will be presented.

ASReml
Variance component estimation and fitting of the FA covariance structures were done using the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) method implemented in ASReml (Gilmour et al., 2002). Obtaining a solution for this model is sometimes cumbersome because the model is complex and because of possible multicolinearity between the variance–covariance matrix of additive and additive x additive effects A and Ã, respectively.

When using ASReml, appropriate selection of initial values for the FA model is important. The DIAG solution provides a good starting point for fitting FA(1), and in general, the FA(k-1) solution provides a good starting point for fitting FA(k) (k = 2, 3....). Sometimes the choice of initial values can delay the convergence, and the algorithm may even fail to converge; therefore, the use of satisfactory initial values for variance parameters in the FA structure is of paramount importance. Usually the likelihood function is flat, and various local maximums exist that force the user to perform a detailed process of model fitting, modifying and trying out different initial and changing parameter values that control the maximization process. The problem of identifiability of variance models is similar to the issue of fitting an over-parameterized fixed model. Identifiability problems of the variance components of a and i effects in MM2 were solved by constraining the variance {sigma}a2 of a to be equal to the variance {sigma}aa2 of i.

Experimental Data
The data are derived from two CIMMYT bread wheat METs. The variable analyzed was grain yield (Mg ha–1). Data Set 1 contains data from 47 genotypes (1–47) arranged in an incomplete block design with two replicates in each of 10 sites. There were six sets of sister lines: the THILI group {17, 18}, KETUPA group{20, 21, 22}, OTUS group {26, 27}, CAZO/KAUZ group {28, 29}, OASIS group {34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40}, and SERI group {42, 45, 47}. Data Set 2 had 49 lines (1–49) arranged in an incomplete block design, with two replications at each of 15 sites. In this data set there were seven sets of sister lines denoted as the OTUS group {6, 7}, CROC group {15, 16}, WEAVER group {20, 21}, CHEN1 group {28, 29}, PARA group {30, 31}, CHEN group {33, 34}, and BABA group {42, 43}.


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
Estimates of variance components for MM1 and MM2 of Data Set 1 and MM1 of Data Set 2 are given in Table 1. For Data Set 1, MM1 gave an average of the diagonal elements of matrix {Sigma}a1 of Formula 7({Sigma}a1) = 2.212, while MM2 gave an estimate of the average of the diagonal elements of {Sigma}ae of Formula 7({Sigma}ae) = 2.251. Similarly, models MM1 and MM2 gave similar values for the average of the diagonal elements of {Sigma}i1 and {Sigma}ie, Formula 7({Sigma}i1) = 1.877 and Formula 7 ({Sigma}ie) = 1.872, respectively. Note that the parameters {sigma}a2 and {sigma}aa2 were assumed to be equal, and their estimate was 0.002 (Table 1). For Data Set 1, the residual variances for MM1 and MM2 were very similar, 0.242 and 0.241, respectively. For Data Set 2, only model MM1 was fitted and gave estimates of additive plus additive x environment interaction variance of Formula 7({Sigma}a1) = 1.956 and an estimate of additive x additive plus additive x additive x environment interaction variance of Formula 7({Sigma}i1) = 1.093, with a residual error of 0.250.


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Table 1. Variance components from MM1 are given by the average of the diagonal elements of matrix {Sigma}a1 [Formula 7({Sigma}a1)], the average of the diagonal elements of matrix {Sigma}i1 [Formula 7({Sigma}i1)]. Variance components from MM2 are the additive variance ({sigma}a2), additive x additive variance ({sigma}i2), the average of the diagonal elements of matrix {Sigma}ae [Formula 7 ({Sigma}ae)], and the average of the diagonal elements of matrix {Sigma}ie [Formula 7 ({Sigma}ie)]. Residual error ({sigma}2) of MM1 and MM2 are shown for Data Sets 1 and 2.

 
Correlation between BLUPs of g1, a1, and i1 Effects in MM1, and g, a, and i Effects in MM2
Concerning the rank correlations among different BLUPs, as expected, g1 (MM1) was more closely associated with a1 (MM1) than i1 (MM1), and g (MM2) was more strongly related to a (MM2) than to i (MM2) (Table 2). For Data Set 1, the rank correlations of the lines based on BLUPs of g1 (MM1) vs. BLUPs of a1 (MM1) and on BLUPs of g (MM2) and BLUPs of a (MM2) were 0.804 and 0.810, respectively (Table 2). The rank correlations of BLUPs of g1 vs. BLUPs of i1 (of MM1) and BLUPs of g vs. BLUPs of i (MM2) were intermediate, 0.551 and 0.544, respectively (Table 2). The rank correlations of BLUPs of the lines between g1 and g* (with COP but not partitioning g into a and i) and g vs. g* were high, 0.926 and 0.923, respectively. For Data Set 2, the rank correlation of BLUPs of g1 vs. BLUPs of a1 (0.531) was smaller than the rank correlation of BLUPs of g1 vs. BLUPs of i1 (0.730) (Table 2).


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Table 2. Rank correlations among best linear unbiased predictions (BLUPs) of total genetic effects (g1), additive effects (a1), and additive x additive effects (i1) for MM1. Correlation between BLUPs of total genetic effects (g), additive effects (a), and additive x additive effects (i) of MM2. The BLUP g* represents MM1 or MM2 ignoring relationship matrices A and Ã, and without partitioning g into a and i.

 
BLUPs of g1, a1, and i1 effects in MM1, and g, a, and i effects in MM2
Data Set 1
The 47 genotypes of Data Set 1 included six sets of sister lines: THILI group {17, 18} with COP f17,18 = 0.978; OTUS group {26, 27} with f26,27 = 0.982; CAZO/KAUZ group {28, 29} with f28,29 = 0.542; KETAPU group {20, 21, 22} with f20,21 = f20,22 = f21,22 = 0.682; SERI group {42, 45, 47} with f42,45 = 0.995 and f42,47 = f45,47 = 0.990; and OASIS group {34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40} with all COP values 0.955 except f37,38 = 0.962 and f39,40 = 0.975. In general, lines with high BLUPs of genetic effects showed relatively high BLUPs of additive and additive x additive effects, whereas lines with low BLUPs of the genetic effects had small BLUPs of additive and additive x additive effects.

From MM1 and MM2, the 10 lines with the highest BLUPs of the total genetic effects for grain yield were lines 30, 2, 5, 22, 4, 43, 16, 37, 38, and 17 (Table 3); for both models, lines 30, 2, 5, 22, 16, and 37 were also within the 10 best with respect to additive genetic effects. Interestingly, lines 44, 40, 25, and 15, which did not perform within the 10 best in terms of BLUPs of total genetic effects as estimated using MM1 and MM2, were within the best 10 performers for the BLUPs of the additive effects for both MM1 and MM2. Line 43 was a good performer in terms of the BLUPs of the total genetic effects (it ranked sixth) and it showed the best BLUP of the additive x additive effects for MM1 and MM2 (it ranked first); however, it ranked 39th and 38th with respect to the BLUPs of the additive effects in models MM1 and MM2, respectively, indicating that line 43 would not be considered a good parent to be used in future crosses (it ranked 36th). However, sister lines 42, 45, and 47 were among the worst 10 performers in terms of overall genetic effects, as well as additive and additive x environment effects for MM1 and MM2. Concerning additive x additive effects, the 10 lines with the highest BLUPs of the additive x additive effects for MM1 were 30, 5, 4, 43, 17, 20, 31, 26, 3, and 6, whereas for MM2, the 10 best lines were 30, 4, 43, 17, 20, 31, 26, 3, 6, and 13 (Table 3). Lines 30, 4, 43, and 17 had high values of BLUPs of the additive x additive effects in MM1 and MM2 and were within the best 10 performers with respect to g1 and a1 in MM1 and also with respect to g and a in MM2. In contrast, lines 20, 31, 26, 3, 6, and 13 had intermediate to low BLUPs of the total genetic effects in both models.


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Table 3. Best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) of grain yield (Mg ha–1) for Data Set 1. Genotype numbers (1–47) (Code) ranked by BLUPs for total genetic effects (g1) and their rank (Rg1), additive effects (a1) and their rank (Ra1), and additive x additive effects (i1) and their rank (Ri1) for MM1 of Data Set 1. The BLUPs for total genetic effects (g) and their rank (Rg), additive effects (a) and their rank (Ra), and additive x additive effects (i) and their rank (Ri) for MM2 of Data Set 1. The BLUPs for genotypes (G) and their rank (R) from the two-way random effects model ignore relationships between genotypes.

 
As Oakey et al. (2006) mentioned, not all lines with high yielding genotypic performance are ideal lines to be used as potential parents for future crosses, that is, they are not all lines with high additive effects. In a sense, the additive genetic effects are estimates of the general combining ability effects of the lines. This is clear for, among others, line 43, with low BLUPs of additive effects but high BLUPs of total genetic effects. Nevertheless, results of these analyses using MM1 and MM2 showed that lines with high overall grain yield, that is, 30, 2, 5, 22 16, and 37, also had high BLUPs of additive effects. There was no clear trend of the responses of other sister lines. Therefore, the most promising parents with high overall production, high additive (breeding values) and additive x additive effects are lines 30, 5, 4, 43, and 17. These lines are potentially good parents for future crosses (high breeding values), have good commercial performance (high overall BLUPs of genetic effects), and have the ability to combine well with other specific lines, since they have relatively high values of additive x additive effects (Table 3).

Data Set 2
From the best 10 lines with respect to BLUPs of g1 (MM1) (41, 40, 19, 23, 26, 47, 28, 24, 6, and 34), only lines 41, 40, and 23 were within the 10 highest with respect to BLUPs of a1 (Table 4), and only lines 19, 26, 47, 6, and 34 were within the 10 lines with the highest BLUPs of i1. Other lines, such as sister lines {43, 42} as well as lines 18, 212, and 39, were within the best 10 lines with respect to BLUPs of a1 and therefore can be considered good potential parents despite their low commercial performance, indicated by the low values of BLUPs of g1. Lines 40, 41, and 23 had high commercial values and are good potential parents.


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Table 4. Best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) of grain yield (Mg ha–1) for Data Set 2. Genotype numbers (1–49) (Code) ranked by BLUPs for total genetic effects (g1) and their rank (Rg1), additive effects (a1) and their rank (Ra1), and additive x additive effects (i1) and their rank (Ri1) for MM1 of Data Set 2. The BLUPs of genotypes (G) and their rank (R) from the two-way random effects model ignore relationships between genotypes.

 
Concerning additive x additive and ie effects, sister lines from groups CHEN and OTUS {33, 34} and {6, 7}, respectively, were within the 10 lines with the highest BLUPs of i1 (Table 4). When the COP was not used and the BLUPs of the lines were computed solely based on their yield performance, the ranks of the BLUPs did not coincide perfectly with BLUPs of g1 (0.77, Table 2). The correlation between the BLUPs of a1 vs. the BLUPs of i1 was low and nonsignificant, –0.120 (Table 2).

Biplots of the a1 and i1 of MM1 and the Additive x Environment and the Additive x Additive x Environment interaction of MM2 for Data Set 1
The additive and additive x environment interaction (a1) patterns modeled using the factor analytic variance–covariance of model MM1 are depicted in Fig. 1 . Subsets of sister lines of the SERI group {42, 45, 47} and the OTUS group {26, 27} tended to have negative additive interaction with most sites included in this analysis, as they are located in the quadrant of the biplot opposite from where the sites are located. Similar responses were shown for lines 1, 6, 13, 43, 46, and 11. The biplot of MM1 shows subsets of lines with promising performance as parents in specific sets of environments. For example, lines 42, 45, 47, 1, 6, 13, 43, 46, and 11 had negative additive interactions with most sites, but specifically with sites S1, S2, and S7, whereas lines 2, 5, 15, 22, and 25 (located in the opposite quadrant) had a positive interaction with most sites, but specifically with sites S1, S2, and S7. As already mentioned, lines 2, 5, 15, 22, and 25 had high performance for additive effects (Table 3) and should be good parents, especially for environmental conditions prevailing in sites S1, S2, and S7. On the other hand, lines 42, 45, 47, 1, 6, 13, 43, 46, 41, and 11 were poor parents in all environments, but especially in sites S1, S2, and S7 (Fig. 1 and Table 3). In terms of environments, S1, S2, and S7 were the sites that most discriminated the lines in terms of additive and additive x environment effects, whereas sites S3, S8, S9, and S10, in the center of the biplot, were more neutral to the additive and additive x environment effects of the lines.


Figure 1
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Fig. 1. Biplot of BLUPs of the additive and additive x environment effects from MM1 for grain yield of Data Set 1. Sites are S1 to S10. Lines are 1 to 47. Sister lines are marked in bold: (17, 18), (20, 21, 22), (26, 27), (28, 29), (34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40), (42, 45, 47).

 
When the additive x additive and additive x additive x environment (i1) effects were modeled using the factor analytic variance–covariance model MM1 (Fig. 2 ), sister lines tended to cluster together, but with much less clear patterns than those shown for the additive effects depicted in Fig. 1. However, sister lines from the SERI group {42, 45, 47} and line 41 showed the largest negative additive x additive and additive x additive x environment interactions with most of the sites, as well as lines 8, 11, and 14. Interestingly, line 43, which had high negative additive and additive x environment interaction with all the sites (Fig. 1), had the highest value for BLUPs of the additive x additive plus additive x additive x environment interactions for most sites, followed by lines 30 and 31 (Fig. 2). These results confirmed the overall values shown in Table 3, but gave more details of specific patterns of lines in sites. It is interesting that, in contrast to the pattern found for S1, S2, and S7 for additive and additive x environment effects, for additive x additive and additive x additive x environment interactions, sites S1 and S2 clustered together, but in the quadrant opposite from S7, indicating that these environments had a completely different response concerning additive vs. additive x additive effects of the lines (Fig. 2).


Figure 2
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Fig. 2. Biplot of BLUPs of the additive x additive and additive x additive x environment effects from MM1 for grain yield of Data Set 1. Sites are S1 to S10. Lines are 1 to 47. Sister lines are marked in bold: (17, 18), (20, 21, 22), (26, 27), (28, 29), (34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40), (42, 45, 47).

 
The biplots of MM2 include the additive x environment and the additive x additive x environment interactions (not shown). For additive x environment, lines 2, 15, 5, 22, 25, and 30 had positive additive x environment interaction in most sites, but especially in S1, S2, and S7. On the other hand, sister lines from the SERI group {42, 45, 47} together with lines 1, 6, 11, 13, 43, and 46 had high and negative additive x environment interactions with most sites (especially sites S1, S2, and S7). The response pattern of the additive x additive x environment interaction modeled separately from the additive x additive effects shows sites S1 and S2 separated from site S7, sister lines {42, 45, and 47} had negative additive x additive x environment interaction with S1 and S2, but positive with S7, and lines 43, 31, 13, and 3 had a completely opposite pattern with respect to S1, S2, and S7.


    DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
The results of using matrices A and à for modeling additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interactions through models MM1 and MM2 have some important implications for practical breeding. First, a strategy for selecting parents for future crosses (i.e., selecting lines with high additive effects) should consider that some lines with high breeding values under certain environmental conditions may not have similar responses in other environments due to high additive x environment interaction. Second, environments favoring lines with positive additive x environment effects do not necessarily favor lines with positive additive x additive x environment interaction effects (as epistasis, or additive x additive variation, reflects the interaction of alleles at different loci). Therefore, when designing crosses, plant breeders can do the following: (i) cross lines with high overall genetic effects (overall production) and overall additive effects (crossing good x good), in which case lines with high additive effects can be crossed with each other, and crosses may also be made between lines with predominately additive effects and lines with additive x additive effects; or (ii) subdivide environments to exploit the positive additive x environment interactions of some lines in specific environments. Since additive x additive x environment interactions also contribute to the overall commercial performance of a line, these two criteria should also be considered when selecting potential parents.

Therefore, making crosses between good potential parents will require considering sets of parents with high breeding values for certain target populations of environments. If additive effects predominate, as they do in Data Set 1, the plant breeder's task will be relatively easy, as he will simply accumulate those genes and phenotypic expression will improve incrementally. However, if additive x additive effects show some importance, as in Data Set 2, it will be more difficult to progress, given that selection must focus on the best combination of genes, many of which may not individually contribute to phenotype.

In instances where additive x additive effects play an important role in determining commercial yield, progress may not necessarily be linked to crossing parents with high breeding values and may in fact be achieved by crossing parents with lower breeding values, but targeted to specific sets of environments. Nevertheless, both characteristics (good commercial values and high additive effects) can be combined in certain lines with relatively high additive effects at certain sites and other lines that performed well commercially and had high additive effects at other sets of sites. As more and more genes are being tagged using DNA markers, it is now possible to better estimate gene effects, thereby improving our understanding of complex epistatic interaction. This will allow plant breeders to better exploit both additive and additive x additive variation in their breeding programs. Defining a target set of environments and lines for additive as well as additive x additive effects considering additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interactions should help breeders maximize overall genetic gains.

The MMs presented in this research have the advantage over the models of Crossa et al. (2006) that they allow partitioning the total genetic effects into additive x environment interaction effects and additive x additive x environment interaction effects, and over the model of Oakey et al. (2006) that they model the interactions of additive and additive x additive with environments. The computational effort when using ASReml is justified by the fact that more insightful understanding of the additive and additive x additive with environments of the lines can be obtained. Applying the models presented in this study using other software packages should be feasible.

Results of this research indicate that lines with high breeding values may not necessarily have high commercial values. However, it is possible to find lines with high overall production and high overall additive effects; they should be used in a crossing program so that lines with high additive effects can be crossed with each other, and crosses may also be made between lines with predominately additive effects and lines with additive x additive effects. This study shows that (i) additive x additive x environment interactions contribute to the overall commercial performance of a line, and (ii) subdivision of environments is required to exploit the positive additive x environment interactions of some lines in specific environments. Since additive x additive x environment interactions also contribute to the overall commercial performance of a line, these two criteria should be considered when selecting potential parents. Defining target sets of environments and lines with positive additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interactions should help breeders maximize overall genetic gains.

In summary, the results of this study show that it is possible to use matrices A and à for modeling a1, i1, ae, and ie through mixed linear models to select wheat lines with high additive effects under some environmental conditions, but that may not have similar responses in other environments. Some environments may favor lines with positive a1 or ae effects and disfavor other lines with positive i1 or ie effects. Wheat lines included in Data Set 1 had higher additive effects than additive x additive epistasis, whereas lines included in Data Set 2 had similar additive and additive x additive effects.

Further research is required to investigate the usefulness of partitioning total genetic effects into additive and additive x additive and their interactions with environments for enhancing the linkage between mapped markers and phenotypic trait observations used in association genetics analyses.


    APPENDIX
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 
First, assume that genotypes are unrelated and that genotype main effects and ge interactions are modeled together as in MM1. The random effect of the ith genotype in the jth environment can be described as a linear function of latent variables xik with coefficients {lambda}jk for k = 1, 2, ... t, plus a residual {delta}ij:

Formula 8[A1]
where {lambda}jk is the loading of the jth environment (environmental potentiality) in the kth latent factor, xik is the score of the ith genotype (genotypic sensitivity) in the kth latent factor, and {delta}ij is the unexplained residual term. The variables xik are not observed, but play the role of independent variables in the standard regression theory. The g genotype effects in of s environments can be stacked into a vector, g1, of order gs x 1 and equation [A1] can be expressed in matrix form as:

Formula 9[A2]
where, Ig is an identity matrix of order g x g, vector {lambda}k (for the kth latent variable of sites) is of order s x 1 so that matrix {lambda}k {otimes} Ig is of order gs x g, vector xk (for the kth latent variable of genotype) is of order g x 1 so that vector ({lambda}k {otimes} Ig)xk is of order gs x 1, and vector {delta} is of order gs x 1. Equation [A2] can be written in a more compact form as:

Formula 10[A3]
where {Lambda} is a matrix of order s x k, where the kth column contains the site loadings for the kth latent factor, matrix ({Lambda} {otimes} Ig) is of order gs x gk, vector x is of order gk x 1 and contains the genotypic scores for the latent factors stacked to conform with {Lambda}, and therefore ({Lambda} {otimes} Ig)x is a gs x 1 vector.

Since we have assumed that genotypes are unrelated, the random effects x and {delta} are independent and have a joint normal distribution with mean vector of zero and variances V(x) = Ik {otimes} Ig (of order gk x gk) and V({delta}) = {Psi} {otimes} Ig (of order gs x gs), where Ik is an identity matrix of order k x k, and {Psi} is a diagonal matrix ({sigma}{delta}12, {sigma}{delta}22,..., {sigma}{delta}s2) of order s x s.

Therefore, the variance–covariance of g1, Gg1 (of order gs x gs) is

Formula 11[A4]
where, for a factor-analytic structure with k factors or components [FA(k)] (k ≤ s), {Lambda} is a s x k matrix of {lambda} and {Psi} is a s x s diagonal matrix, with s possibly having different nonnegative parameters on the diagonal. When only one factor is considered, k = 1, the model has one multiplicative term and is denoted as FA(1), for k = 2 FA(2) has two multiplicative components, etc. Thus, FA can be interpreted as the linear regression of genotype and ge on environmental covariates (environmental loadings), with each genotype having a separate slope (genotypic scores) but a common intercept (if main effects of genotypes are not distinguished from ge as in MM1). The slopes of genotypes measure the sensitivity of the genotypes to hypothetical environmental factors represented by the loadings of each site (Smith et al., 2002).

Now assume that genotypes are related such that the covariance between relatives, within sites, is proportional to A for additive effects and proportional to à for additive x additive effects and that g1 (of MM1) is partitioned into additive, a1, and additive x additive, i1 effects; then A3 becomes

Formula 12[A5]
where, in this case, the subscripts a1 for {Lambda}a1 and xa1 denote the additive main effects and additive x environment interaction, and the subscript i1 for {Lambda}i1 and xi1 represents the additive x additive main effects and additive x additive x environment interaction components of the total genetic effect, g1. Then the random effects xa1, xi1, and {delta} can be assumed to be independent with a joint normal distribution with mean zero and variances V(xa1) = (Ik {otimes} A), V(xi1) = (Ik {otimes} Ã), and V({delta}) = {Psi} {otimes} (A + Ã). Thus, the variance of the total random genetic effects, g1, is

Formula 13[A6]
or

Formula 14[A7]

Similar development can be obtained for MM2, in which the random main effects of additive and additive x additive and their interactions with environments are separated from the additive x environment and additive x additive x environment interaction effects.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
We thank Dr. Arthur Gilmour for his advice and help with implementation of the basic ASReml code for computing the analyses of this study.

Received for publication September 6, 2006.


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
 APPENDIX
 REFERENCES
 




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