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Published in Crop Sci 36:165-168 (1996)
© 1996 Crop Science Society of America
677 S. Segoe Rd., Madison, WI 53711 USA
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Evaluation of Selected Nonlinear Regression Models in Quantifying Seedling Emergence Rate of Spring Wheat

Yantai Gan*

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Semiarid Prairie Agric. Res. Centre, Swift Current, SK, Canada S9H 3X2

Elmer H. Stobbe

Dep. of Plant Sci., Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada R3T 2N2

Catherine Njue

Dep. of Statistics, Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada R3T 2N2

* Corresponding author (gan{at}skrssc.agr.ca).

Fast and uniform seedling emergence increases yield potential of spring wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) in short-season areas. An accurate method of quantifying rate of seedling emergence is needed. In this study, we compared the relative effectiveness of the Gompertz, Logistic, and Weibull models in quantifying emergence rate of spring wheat. ‘Roblin’ wheat was grown in a growth room under five soil water potential: – 0.002, – 0.165, – 0.41, – 1.00, and – 1.45 MPa. Daily-recorded emergence data were fitted to each of the models. The analyses of stability and accuracy functions, residual sum of squares, and variance showed that the Weibull model was not appropriate in quantifying rate of emergence.The Gompertaz and Logistic models functioned in a similar way with great stability and accuracy in most cases. The Gompertz predictions most closely fitted the observed set of responses with residual points scattered around zero. For lognormally distributed emergence patterns common under field conditions, the Gompertz model provided the most appropriate characterization of emergence.


Contribution from Dep. of Plant Sci., Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB.

Received for publication May 1, 1995.


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