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Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Semiarid Prairie Agric. Res. Centre, Swift Current, SK, Canada S9H 3X2
Dep. of Plant Sci., Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada R3T 2N2
Dep. of Statistics, Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada R3T 2N2
* Corresponding author (gan{at}skrssc.agr.ca).
Fast and uniform seedling emergence increases yield potential of spring wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) in short-season areas. An accurate method of quantifying rate of seedling emergence is needed. In this study, we compared the relative effectiveness of the Gompertz, Logistic, and Weibull models in quantifying emergence rate of spring wheat. Roblin wheat was grown in a growth room under five soil water potential: – 0.002, – 0.165, – 0.41, – 1.00, and – 1.45 MPa. Daily-recorded emergence data were fitted to each of the models. The analyses of stability and accuracy functions, residual sum of squares, and variance showed that the Weibull model was not appropriate in quantifying rate of emergence.The Gompertaz and Logistic models functioned in a similar way with great stability and accuracy in most cases. The Gompertz predictions most closely fitted the observed set of responses with residual points scattered around zero. For lognormally distributed emergence patterns common under field conditions, the Gompertz model provided the most appropriate characterization of emergence.
Received for publication May 1, 1995.
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